Polymarket and Kalshi Face a Major Accuracy Test: The Midterms
Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections is an important proving ground.
Crossfiled / Gavin Jackson
3 stories named Gavin Jackson, covered by 5 outlets. Each one is shown beside every other newsroom's version of the same event, with a link to the outlet that filed it.
Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections is an important proving ground.
Democrats have narrow leads in two key Senate contests with just a few days until the election, new polls show. New surveys conducted by CNN/SSRS released Thursday found Democrats ahead in the Kansas and Maine Senate races, though both leads are in the margin of error.
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