Crossfiled
Polymarket and Kalshi Face a Major Accuracy Test: The Midterms
Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections is an important proving ground.
Crossfiled / Polymarket
Polymarket: how every outlet covers the stories
7 stories named Polymarket, covered by 15 outlets. Each one is shown beside every other newsroom's version of the same event, with a link to the outlet that filed it.
Some Polymarket user funds stolen by hackers; exchange referring matter to U.K. authorities
The outage comes just days before the platform is expected to experience heightened trading during the U.S. midterm elections.
Lula beats Bolsonaro to win Brazil presidential election
Brazil President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva was elected to a fourth, nonconsecutive term in the nation's presidential election , according to early results released Sunday evening. Why it matters: Lula's victory deals a setback to Brazil's right-wing populist movement and preserves a major counterwei
NBA enters prediction markets with Kalshi, Polymarket partnerships
The league also inked a memorandum of understanding with the CFTC, the federal regulator of prediction markets.
Lula miraculously beat the Brazilian far right and Donald Trump. But have no doubt: the region is still in peril
After the rejoicing, it will be vital to learn the lessons. The rightward shift is neither inevitable nor irreversible, but progressives cannot rest for a moment The impossible happened. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won a fourth term in Sunday’s runoff election in Brazil, overturning Flávio B
Polymarket blocks wagers on fate of Cornell students accused of sexual assault
After facing public backlash, Polymarket has removed a market that allowed users to wager on the fate of the seven Cornell University students accused of sexually assaulting a woman at a fraternity house in 2024. The prediction market archived the market, which asked whether any of the so-called Cor
Polymarket saw $600 million in election trades after the elections were over
Millions kept changing hands long after the election outcomes were effectively settled.
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